Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.202288 0.230001 0.259718 0.293906 0.332104 0.373418 0.421436
2026-01-18 0.166996 0.204403 0.247168 0.299500 0.361632 0.432847 0.520454
2026-01-25 0.143069 0.186646 0.239278 0.307149 0.391933 0.493894 0.625297
2026-02-01 0.121228 0.167596 0.226450 0.305983 0.409908 0.540257 0.715163
2026-02-08 0.104211 0.151931 0.215302 0.304633 0.426147 0.584337 0.804259
2026-02-15 0.090583 0.138733 0.205395 0.303065 0.440851 0.626329 0.892477
2026-02-22 0.081998 0.131330 0.202249 0.309813 0.466553 0.683870 1.004479
2026-03-01 0.072905 0.121921 0.194984 0.309516 0.481609 0.726940 1.098397
2026-03-08 0.065327 0.113822 0.188620 0.309559 0.496548 0.770065 1.194224
2026-03-15 0.058965 0.106836 0.183105 0.310078 0.511727 0.813848 1.292874
2026-03-22 0.054422 0.102275 0.180848 0.315238 0.533983 0.868984 1.410971
2026-03-29 0.050922 0.099057 0.180368 0.322996 0.560526 0.931753 1.543624
2026-04-05 0.046618 0.094072 0.176674 0.325464 0.579265 0.984392 1.665143
2026-04-12 0.043418 0.090725 0.175445 0.331916 0.604878 1.049261 1.809475
2026-04-19 0.040849 0.088258 0.175496 0.340488 0.634482 1.122057 1.970282
2026-04-26 0.037184 0.083215 0.170360 0.339308 0.647042 1.167265 2.088052
2026-05-03 0.033890 0.078512 0.165374 0.337880 0.658864 1.211592 2.206291
2026-05-10 0.030918 0.074110 0.160512 0.336189 0.669905 1.254905 2.324652
2026-05-17 0.029243 0.072273 0.160478 0.343616 0.697940 1.328928 2.499124
2026-05-24 0.026922 0.068729 0.156663 0.343299 0.711382 1.377722 2.631679
2026-05-31 0.024859 0.065513 0.153205 0.343351 0.725389 1.428030 2.769029
2026-06-07 0.023033 0.062625 0.150150 0.343924 0.740310 1.480562 2.912570
2026-06-14 0.021786 0.060974 0.149597 0.349590 0.765491 1.553093 3.095572